Updated college football bowl projections: TCU in Fiesta, Ohio State in Peach

Read The Athletics latest college football bowl projections. Updated: Sunday at 2:30 a.m. ET. TCU fell inches shy of the goal line and a Big 12 title in a 31-28 overtime loss to Kansas State, but the Horned Frogs (12-1) still are projected to qualify for the College Football Playoff. The only question remaining is

Read The Athletic’s latest college football bowl projections

Updated: Sunday at 2:30 a.m. ET.

TCU fell inches shy of the goal line and a Big 12 title in a 31-28 overtime loss to Kansas State, but the Horned Frogs (12-1) still are projected to qualify for the College Football Playoff. The only question remaining is whether TCU will remain at No. 3 or fall to No. 4 behind Ohio State in the final rankings

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Kansas State (10-3) will play in the Sugar Bowl, likely against Alabama. Georgia (13-0) will surely be the No. 1 seed after routing LSU in Atlanta. The Dawgs will be back there for the Peach Bowl semifinal on Dec. 31. Michigan (13-0) as the No. 2 seed will head to the Fiesta Bowl.

Clemson (11-2) beat North Carolina in the ACC Championship Game and will head to the Orange Bowl, where its likely opponent is Tennessee.

Meanwhile, Tulane beat UCF on Saturday to win the AAC championship. In doing so it will earn the Group of 5’s New Year’s Six bowl berth, which this year is in the Cotton Bowl. Fresno State beat Boise State in the Mountain West title game and will play in the L.A. Bowl.

As for two schools ending long bowl droughts: Kansas looks likely to reach the Liberty Bowl in Memphis, while Connecticut should go to one of ESPN Events’ Florida bowls. We have the Huskies in Boca Raton.

Reminders:

  • Most bowls do not have to select in strict order of conference standings. “Big 12 No. 3” or “Big Ten No. 3” means third choice, not third place, which is why a team with a worse record or head-to-head loss can jump a conference rival.
  • The SEC office plays matchmaker with its bowls and schools.
  • ESPN Events owns and operates 16 of the 41 FBS bowls. Most of those bowls involve Group of 5 conferences. ESPN Events can move teams to create intriguing matchups.
  • All times Eastern.

New Year's Six

BOWLDATETEAMCITYVIEWING

Orange

Dec. 30

Clemson (ACC) vs. Tennessee (SEC/B1G/ND)

Miami

8 p.m. ESPN

Sugar

Dec. 31

Kansas State (Big 12) vs. Alabama (SEC)

New Orleans

Noon, ESPN

Fiesta

Dec. 31

No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 TCU

Glendale, Ariz.

4 p.m./8 p.m. ESPN

Peach

Dec. 31

No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Ohio State

Atlanta

4 p.m./8 p.m. ESPN

Cotton

Jan. 2

USC (at-large) vs. Tulane (at-large/G5)

Arlington, Texas

1 p.m. ESPN

Rose

Jan. 2

Penn State (B1G) vs. Utah (Pac-12)

Pasadena, Calif.

5 p.m. ESPN

Remaining bowls

BOWLDATETEAMSCITYVIEWING

Bahamas

Dec. 16

Miami-OH (MAC) vs. UAB (C-USA)

Nassau, Bahamas

11:30 a.m. ESPN

Cure

Dec. 16

UTSA (ESPN) vs. Coastal Carolina (ESPN)

Orlando, Fla.

3 p.m. ESPN

Fenway

Dec. 17

Louisville (ACC No. 9) vs. Cincinnati (AAC)

Boston

11 a.m. ESPN

New Mexico

Dec. 17

BYU (ESPN) vs. SMU (ESPN)

Albuquerque, N.M.

2:15 p.m. ESPN

LA Bowl

Dec. 17

Washington State (Pac-12 No. 6) vs. Fresno State (MWC No. 1)

Inglewood, Calif.

3:30 p.m. ABC

Lendingtree

Dec. 17

Southern Miss (Sun Belt No. 5) vs. Bowling Green (C-USA/MAC)

Mobile, Ala.

5:45 p.m. ESPN

Vegas

Dec. 17

Oregon State (Pac-12 No. 4) vs. Florida (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Las Vegas

7:30 p.m. ABC

Frisco

Dec. 17

Houston (ESPN) vs. Boise State (ESPN)

Frisco, Texas

9:15 p.m. ESPN

Myrtle Beach

Dec. 19

South Alabama (ESPN) vs. Liberty (ESPN)

Myrtle Beach, S.C.

2:30 p.m. ESPN

Idaho Potato

Dec. 20

Utah State (MWC) vs. Buffalo (MAC)

Boise, Idaho

3:30 p.m. ESPN

Boca Raton

Dec. 20

Rice (ESPN) vs. Connecticut (ESPN)

Boca Raton, Fla.

7:30 p.m. ESPN

New Orleans

Dec. 21

Troy (Sun Belt No. 2) vs. North Texas (C-USA)

New Orleans

8 p.m. ESPN

Armed Forces

Dec. 22

Air Force (ESPN) vs. Oklahoma State (ESPN)

Fort Worth, Texas

7:30 p.m. ESPN

Independence

Dec. 23

Louisiana* (Army) vs. Memphis (AAC)

Shreveport, La.

3 p.m. ESPN

Gasparilla

Dec. 23

East Carolina (ESPN) vs. Wake Forest (ESPN)

Tampa, Fla.

6:30 p.m. ESPN

Hawaii

Dec. 24

San Diego State (MWC) vs. Middle Tennessee (C-USA)

Honolulu

8 p.m. ESPN

Quick Lane

Dec. 26

New Mexico State* (Big Ten No. 8) vs. Eastern Michigan (MAC)

Detroit

2:30 p.m. ESPN

Camellia

Dec. 27

Georgia Southern (ESPN) vs. Ohio (ESPN)

Montgomery, Ala.

Noon ESPN

First Responder

Dec. 27

San Jose State (ESPN) vs. Western Kentucky (ESPN)

University Park, Texas

3:15 p.m./6:45 p.m. ESPN

Birmingham

Dec. 27

Marshall (AAC) vs. Missouri (SEC No. 9)

Birmingham, Ala.

3:15 p.m./6:45 p.m. ESPN

Guaranteed Rate

Dec. 27

Wisconsin (Big Ten No. 7) vs. Baylor (Big 12 No. 6)

Phoenix

10:15 p.m. ESPN

Military

Dec. 28

UCF (AAC) vs. Duke (ACC No. 8)

Annapolis, Md.

2 p.m. ESPN

Liberty

Dec. 28

Kansas (Big 12 No. 5) vs. Kentucky (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Memphis, Tenn.

5:30 p.m. ESPN

Holiday

Dec. 28

North Carolina (ACC Nos. 2-4) vs. Oregon (Pac-12 No. 3)

San Diego

8 p.m. Fox

Texas

Dec. 28

Texas Tech (Big 12 No. 4) vs. Arkansas (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Houston

9 p.m. ESPN

Pinstripe

Dec. 29

Minnesota (Big Ten No. 5) vs. Syracuse (ACC Nos. 5-7)

Bronx, N.Y.

2 p.m. ESPN

Cheez-It

Dec. 29

Oklahoma (Big 12 No. 3) vs. Florida State (ACC Nos. 2-4)

Orlando, Fla.

5:30 p.m. ESPN

Alamo

Dec. 29

Texas (Big 12 No. 2) vs. Washington (Pac-12 No. 2)

San Antonio, Texas

9 p.m. ESPN

Duke's Mayo

Dec. 30

Maryland (Big Ten No. 6) vs. NC State (ACC Nos. 5-7)

Charlotte, N.C.

Noon ESPN

Sun

Dec. 30

Pittsburgh (ACC Nos. 5-7) vs. UCLA (Pac-12 No. 5)

El Paso, Texas

2 p.m. CBS

Gator

Dec. 30

Notre Dame (ACC Nos. 3-5) vs. Ole Miss (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Jacksonville, Fla.

3:30 p.m. ESPN

Arizona

Dec. 30

Wyoming (MWC) vs. Toledo (MAC)

Tucson, Ariz.

4:30 p.m. Barstool

Music City

Dec. 31

Iowa (Big Ten No. 4) vs. Mississippi State (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Nashville

Noon ABC

ReliaQuest

Jan. 2

Illinois (Big Ten No. 3) vs. South Carolina (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Tampa, Fla.

Noon ESPN2

Citrus

Jan. 2

Purdue (Big Ten No. 2) vs. LSU (SEC No.2 )

Orlando, Fla.

1 p.m. ABC

Teams that have accepted official bids are in bold.

*  Replacement team for a conference without an eligible team.

(Photo: Kevin Abele / Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

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